The recent airstrike in Damascus that targeted senior Quds Force officers has raised concerns about potential retaliation from Iran and the implications for the region. Ms. Stroul, an expert on the matter, highlighted the shift in command and control within the Quds Force following the death of General Qasem Soleimani, noting the rise of rival power centers and a more diffuse but still lethal network abroad.
According to Ms. Stroul, Iran’s core strategy remains unchanged, with a continued investment in terrorist activities abroad to keep the fight away from its borders. She emphasized that no Islamic Revolutionary Guards operatives or leaders are safe anywhere, which could have a strategic impact on the Quds Force’s operations abroad.
Retired General Kenneth F. McKenzie Jr. expressed concern over the loss of long-term relationships and the blow to the Quds Force’s leadership. Despite expectations of retaliation from Iran, he downplayed fears of a major escalation of hostilities between Israel and Iran, citing Iran’s limited options to strike Israel and Israel’s resolve.
Pentagon spokeswoman Sabrina Singh sought to reassure the public that the United States had no involvement in the airstrike and had conveyed this message directly to Iran to prevent further escalation. The question now remains whether Iran will respond in a manner that de-escalates the situation or further escalates tensions in the region.